4 akıllı para adresi 13.400 ABD Doları yatırım yaptı, "Amerika'nın bu ay Hormuz Boğazı'ndaki ticaret gemilerini korumayacağını" tahmin etti.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 4 smart money addresses have collectively invested $13.4k in the "no" outcome of "Will the US escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31," with the current probability of "yes" at 20%.

Based on the settlement rules, if the US military or federal government formally announces, prior to March 31 at midnight EST, that they will, are, or have escorted any ships through the Strait of Hormuz, the market will settle as "yes." Escorting refers to US military or government personnel providing protective monitoring, without boarding, to a specific ship or fleet, conducted through independent naval vessels or aerial assets.

The US military has ordered the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit and the USS Tripoli amphibious assault ship to the Middle East region, expected to arrive later this month. Trump previously indicated willingness to provide escorts if necessary, but US Energy Secretary Chris Wright recently stated in a public interview that the US is currently "not at all prepared" to escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz.

Note: Based on their historical trading patterns, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual event outcome, potentially engaging in profit-taking or stop-loss strategies at a certain point after opening the position.

Accounts:
0x80a0da00fbdc8440b0ef601341f14c3e24795708
0xbf961d0c79db0bf55050cadc0995835f09c09942
0x1b5655739e33491a3d831bcb51e2c74e0501715e
0x2120ea0323fcf5446233056467fdb852b4b12647

Total Investment: $13.4k
---------------------------------
See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN for early access to the future.